Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City prediction: under 2.5 and the odds
Result: right. The call was under 2.5 goals; the match ended 0-0. Every call so far.
Sporting Lagos are slight favourites in NPFL round 2 at 16:00 WAT at Mobolaji Johnson Arena. You can back them at the best price of 2.20 with BetKing, with the draw at 3.25 and Ikorodu City at 3.30 with SportyBet. Both sides drew with Barau FC in their recent results, so neither created separation against the same opponent.
These are the results I have for each side.
Sporting Lagos recent form
- D 1-1 vs Barau FC (home)
- W 3-2 vs Enyimba (away)
- L 0-2 vs Abia Warriors (home)
- W 3-0 vs Inter Lagos (away)
- L 0-2 vs Doma United (away)
Ikorodu City recent form
- W 2-0 vs Enugu Rangers (home)
- L 1-2 vs Bendel Insurance (away)
- D 0-0 vs Barau FC (home)
- D 2-2 vs Abia Warriors (away)
- W 3-1 vs Ranchers Bees (home)
What the price costs you. SportyBet takes about ₦90 from every ₦1,000 you stake on the result, the smallest cut I measured for this market. MSport takes about ₦98 from the same stake, the largest cut in the data for the same market.
| Outcome | Price at SportyBet | Chance the price gives | Price without the cut |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 3.57 |
| Away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 3.63 |
My read: under 2.5 goals. Prices without the cut give it a 60% chance on the bookmakers’ maths.
Keep your stakes within a limit you set and pause when it stops being fun.
Where they stand
| Club | Pos | P | Pts | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | 15 | +1 | LWWDD | |
| 13 | 11 | 14 | +2 | DDLWL |
Over the last 3 NPFL seasons, Sporting Lagos won 12 of 19 at home and Ikorodu City won 4 of 38 away. Across the league, away sides won 10% of matches: NPFL home advantage.
Our other calls on these clubs
2 of 6 right:
- Doma United 2–2 Ikorodu City · Under 2.5 goals · Wrong
- Niger Tornadoes 2–1 Ikorodu City · Under 2.5 goals · Wrong
- Sporting Lagos 2–1 Bendel Insurance · Under 2.5 goals · Wrong
- Ikorodu City 2–0 Kwara United · Under 2.5 goals · Right
- Rivers United 2–0 Ikorodu City · Under 2.5 goals · Right
- Ikorodu City 2–0 Enugu Rangers · Both teams to score · Wrong
Each day's calls, and every result, also go out on Telegram: t.me/punditng.