Odds, margins and payouts
I publish figures other sites do not: the margin each bookmaker builds into its prices, how long payouts actually take, and a public record of every call I have made, including the losing ones.
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- Arsenal vs Leeds: a short favourite, and why I read over 2.5
Arsenal are clear favourites at home to Leeds at 1.36, and you can see why from the market. That price leaves almost no room for an away upset on paper at the Emirates Stadium.
- Aston Villa vs Brentford: the cut, and why I read both to score
Brentford are unbeaten lately and beat Chelsea at home, while Villa lost their last home game to Nottingham Forest. My read: both teams to score, as both sides have scored in most of the recent games on this list.
- Chelsea vs Bournemouth: the cut, and why I read over 2.5
My read: over 2.5 goals, because recent Chelsea home games and past meetings might bring goals again.
- Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: why I read under 2.5
The Premier League game is at Selhurst Park and starts at 14:00 WAT on 11 October. Four of the last five meetings ended 1-1, and that run of low draws shapes this game for you.
- Hull City vs Everton: the cut, and why I read under 2.5
Kick-off is 14:00 WAT on 11 October at MKM Stadium, so check your ticket early if you plan to follow live betting. My read: Under 2.5 goals, which would fit the run of 1-0 and 0-0 results in the lists above.
- Ipswich vs Fulham: the cut, and why I read both to score
Both teams to score feels possible, as recent results for both sides have often included goals at both ends.
- Manchester United vs Tottenham: why I read under 2.5
My read: under 2.5 goals, which would fit a Tottenham side that has blanked three times in five and played two 0-0 draws.
- Sunderland vs Brighton: the cut, and why I read under 2.5
Brighton are slight favourites at 2.59 with 1xBet, just ahead of Sunderland at 2.93. Brighton have scored freely in recent away games while Sunderland have conceded heavily at home lately. My read: Over 2.5 goals.