Arsenal vs Leeds prediction: under 2.5 and the best odds
Arsenal v 
Leeds
Result: wrong. The call was under 2.5 goals; the match ended 2-1. Every call so far.
Arsenal are clear favourites at 1.49 with 1xBet Nigeria, with kick-off at 12:30 WAT at Emirates Stadium. The record shapes it most, as Arsenal won the last five meetings.
Arsenal are without W. Saliba with a back injury and C. Tzolis with a hamstring injury. K. Havertz and E. Konsa are doubts with muscle injuries. That removes two players from selection and leaves two further places uncertain.
Leeds are without D. James with a back injury, M. Joseph with a knee injury and J. Rodon with a muscle injury. J. Bahoya is a doubt with an ankle injury and H. Wilson is a doubt with a muscle injury. That removes players from selection and narrows rotation options.
Recent form, Arsenal:
- L 0-3 vs Brighton (away)
- W 4-2 vs Ipswich (away)
- W 2-0 vs Sunderland (away)
- W 1-0 vs Napoli (away)
- W 2-1 vs Chelsea (home)
Recent form, Leeds:
- D 0-0 vs Crystal Palace (home)
- W 4-1 vs Newcastle (home)
- L 3-6 vs Chelsea (away)
- D 1-1 vs Brighton (away)
- D 1-1 vs Brentford (home)
Previous meetings:
- Leeds 0-4 Arsenal, 2026-01-31
- Arsenal 5-0 Leeds, 2025-08-23
- Arsenal 4-1 Leeds, 2023-04-01
- Leeds 0-1 Arsenal, 2022-10-16
- Arsenal 2-1 Leeds, 2022-05-08
What the price costs you. The cut at 1xBet Nigeria takes about ₦15 from each ₦1,000 placed on the 1X2 market. The same stake loses about ₦75 to the cut at Betway Nigeria.
| Outcome | Price at 1xBet Nigeria | Chance the price gives | Price without the cut |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 67.3% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 5.08 | 19.7% | 5.16 |
| Away | 6.88 | 14.5% | 6.99 |
My read: under 2.5 goals. Past results in this competition put it at 52% against 47% in the prices without the cut.
Set a stake limit before kick-off and stop when you reach it.
Where they stand
| Club | Pos | P | Pts | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1 | 9 | 24 | +9 | WWWWL |
| Leeds | 12 | 9 | 11 | +1 | LDDLD |
Our other calls on these clubs
4 of 6 right:
- Slavia Praha 1–2 Arsenal · Over 2.5 goals · Right
- Liverpool 0–1 Arsenal · Both teams to score · Wrong
- Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds · Under 3.5 goals · Right
- Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal · Both teams to score · Wrong
- Leeds 1–1 Manchester United · Under 3.5 goals · Right
- Arsenal 3–0 Lille · Over 2.5 goals · Right
Each day's calls, and every result, also go out on Telegram: t.me/punditng.