Leeds vs Manchester United prediction: under 3.5 and the best odds
Leeds v 
Manchester United
Result: right. The call was under 3.5 goals; the match ended 1-1. Every call so far.
Leeds are favoured at Elland Road on Sunday, kick-off 14:00 WAT. Their home price at 1xBet Nigeria gives a 41.0% chance, ahead of Manchester United at 33.2%. United arrive with a long absence list, which most shapes this game.
Leeds are without M. Joseph with a knee injury and J. Rodon with a muscle injury. D. James is a doubt with a back injury. That removes Joseph and Rodon from selection and leaves James as a doubt.
P. Dorgu is out with a hamstring injury. T. Heaton is out with an abdominal strain. B. Sesko is out with a leg injury.
M. Ugarte is out with a knee injury. K. Mainoo, N. Mazraoui and L. Shaw are doubts with injury. That removes those names from selection and leaves the doubts to check late.
Leeds form:
- L 1-2 vs Arsenal (away)
- D 0-0 vs Crystal Palace (home)
- W 4-1 vs Newcastle (home)
- L 3-6 vs Chelsea (away)
- D 1-1 vs Brighton (away)
Manchester United form:
- L 0-2 vs Atletico Madrid (away)
- D 1-1 vs Tottenham (home)
- D 1-1 vs Fulham (away)
- L 2-3 vs Brighton (home)
- L 0-1 vs Manchester City (home)
Previous meetings:
- Manchester United 1-1 Leeds, 2026-08-12
- Manchester United 1-2 Leeds, 2026-04-13
- Leeds 1-1 Manchester United, 2026-01-04
- Manchester United 0-0 Leeds, 2025-07-19
- Manchester United 2-0 Leeds, 2023-07-12
What the price costs you. The cut at 1xBet Nigeria takes about ₦15 from each ₦1,000 staked on the result. At Betway Nigeria the same stake loses about ₦78 to the cut.
| Outcome | Price at 1xBet Nigeria | Chance the price gives | Price without the cut |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 41.0% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 27.4% | 3.71 |
| Away | 3.02 | 33.2% | 3.06 |
My read: under 3.5 goals. Past results put it at 70%, the bookmakers’ prices at 66%, and all five recent meetings stayed under.
Set a budget you can afford to lose and stop when it is gone.
Where they stand
| Club | Pos | P | Pts | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 12 | 9 | 11 | +1 | LDDLD |
| Manchester United | 17 | 9 | 7 | -5 | LLDDD |
Our other calls on these clubs
3 of 6 right:
- Manchester United 3–2 AS Roma · Both teams to score · Right
- Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds · Under 3.5 goals · Right
- Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United · Both teams to score · Wrong
- Atletico Madrid 2–0 Manchester United · Both teams to score · Wrong
- Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham · Both teams to score · Right
- Arsenal 2–1 Leeds · Under 2.5 goals · Wrong
Each day's calls, and every result, also go out on Telegram: t.me/punditng.