FC Porto vs Napoli prediction: under 3.5 and the best odds
FC Porto v 
Napoli
Result: wrong. The call was under 3.5 goals; the match ended 4-1. Every call so far.
Porto are favoured in the Champions League at 21:00 WAT at Estádio do Dragão, with the tightest price giving them a 50.4% chance. Napoli’s absence list shapes this tie most. It leaves the visitors with far fewer options to call on.
Porto are without Gabriel Mec, D. Prpic, C. Smalling, V. Sousa and William Gomes. Smalling misses with a knee injury, Sousa with a leg injury and William Gomes with an ankle injury. Gabriel Mec and D. Prpic are off the roster.
O. Pietuszewski is a doubt with a muscle injury. If he is out, Porto are without him as well.
Napoli are without Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile, A. Buongiorno, David Neres and G. Di Lorenzo. Alisson Santos and G. Di Lorenzo miss with muscle injuries, David Neres with a thigh injury and A. Buongiorno with a knee injury. B. Badiashile also misses with an injury.
C. Favasuli, S. Lobotka, M. Olivera and L. Spinazzola are also out, with L. Marianucci off the roster. Favasuli and Spinazzola miss with thigh injuries, Lobotka with an ankle injury and Olivera with a muscle injury. K. De Bruyne is a doubt with an ankle injury and V. Milinkovic-Savic is a doubt with a muscle injury.
FC Porto form:
- W 4-0 vs Estoril (home)
- W 1-0 vs Academico Viseu (home)
- W 1-0 vs GIL Vicente (away)
- L 0-1 vs PSV Eindhoven (home)
- L 2-3 vs Real Betis (away)
Napoli form:
- L 0-2 vs Juventus (away)
- W 4-1 vs Monza (away)
- D 3-3 vs AS Roma (home)
- W 4-3 vs Bodo/Glimt (home)
- L 0-1 vs Venezia (away)
What the price costs you. A ₦1,000 stake on the result leaves about ₦15 in the cut at 1xBet Nigeria. The same stake leaves about ₦71 in the cut at Betway Nigeria.
| Outcome | Price at 1xBet Nigeria | Chance the price gives | Price without the cut |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 50.4% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 3.96 |
| Away | 3.92 | 25.5% | 3.98 |
My read: under 3.5 goals, with the cut removed the prices give it a 68% chance.
Set your limit before you stake and keep to it.
Where they stand
| Club | Pos | P | Pts | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 26 | 4 | 3 | -1 | WLLL |
| Napoli | 27 | 4 | 3 | -5 | LWLL |
Our other calls on these clubs
3 of 4 right:
- Napoli 4–3 Bodo/Glimt · Over 2.5 goals · Right
- FC Porto 0–1 PSV Eindhoven · Over 2.5 goals · Wrong
- Real Betis 3–2 FC Porto · Both teams to score · Right
- Villarreal 3–1 Napoli · Both teams to score · Right
Each day's calls, and every result, also go out on Telegram: t.me/punditng.